Marine heatwave Bulletin
Forecasts for 27 September 2025​

Key takeaways 

  • North Atlantic – In the western area of Norway, the marine heatwave is decreasing in intensity and extent.
  • Tropical Atlantic – A moderate to strong marine heatwave is developing off the coast of West Africa. Around Cuba and in the Gulf of Mexico, as well as around 60°W, marine heatwaves remain stable.
  • North Pacific – The marine heatwave between the Japanese and North American coasts is decreasing in extent and intensity.
  • Indian Ocean – Around the Bay of Bengal, the marine heatwave is decreasing in extent and maintaning moderate categories, while off the coast of Sumattra, a marine heatwave is developing.
Waves

Marine heatwave categories

European Zone

 

Marine heatwave categories for 27 September, 2025. European zone. Credit: Mercator Ocean International.
North Atlantic Ocean

The marine heatwave affecting western Norway is decreasing in intensity and extent, and is generally downgrading in moderate category. 

Mediterranean Sea 

Marine heatwaves in the Mediterranean Sea are decreasing in intensity and extent, with only moderate marine heatwaves persisting in the western basin. 

Global Ocean

Marine heatwave categories for 27 September, 2025. Global. Credit: Mercator Ocean International.
Tropical Atlantic Ocean

The marine heatwave around Cuba and in the Gulf of Mexico remains generally stable, with moderate and strong categories still in place. The marine heatwave in the center of the basin around 60°W remains generally stable, with moderate categories still predominating. A moderate to strong marine heatwave is developing off the coast of West Africa. 

North Pacific Ocean

The marine heatwave between the Japanese and North American coasts is decreasing in extent towards 150°E and 160°W, and is also decreasing in intensity along the North American coast as the severe categories disappear and it generally moves into moderate to strong categories. The marine heatwave in the Yellow Sea is decreasing in size and intensity, with the disappearance of extreme categories, but remains in the moderate to severe category. 

Indian Ocean

The marine heatwave in the Bay of Bengal is decreasing in extent but remains in the moderate category. A moderate to locally strong marine heatwave is developing off the coast of Sumatra. 

Weekly temperature anomalies

Mean sea surface temperature for the week 21-27 September 2025

 

 

North Atlantic Ocean -3°C à 3°C 
Mediterranean Sea -0.5°C à 2.5°C 
Tropical Atlantic  -0.5°C à 1.5°C 
North Pacific -3°C à >3°C 
Océan Indien  -1°C à 1.5°C  

Forecasts for 27 September 2025

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NOTES

Datasets and products: Global Ocean Physics Analysis and Forecast (sea surface temperature) E.U. Copernicus Marine Service/ Mercator Ocean International. https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00016