Marine heatwave Bulletin
Forecasts for 27 December 2025​

Key takeaways

  • North AtlanticMarine heatwaves in the North Sea and Baltic Sea are intensifying. In the Carribean Sea to the center of the basin, the marine heatwave decreases in extent. 
  • Southern Ocean – Several marine heatwaves in the basin are intensifying.
  • South Pacific – The marine heatwaves around Papouasie New-Guinea, northern New Zeland and western Chile are increasing in intensity. 

 

 

 

Waves

Marine heatwave categories

European Zone

Marine heatwave categories forecast for 27 December, 2025. European zone. Credit: Mercator Ocean International

Mediterranean Sea

The marine heatwave in the basin increases in intensity. The extent of moderate and strong categories  increases in the western basin and eastern basin respectively. 

North Atlantic

Marine heatwaves in the Bay of Biscay and between Iceland and the British Isles remain stable, with mostly moderate categories and locally strong categories. Marine heatwaves in the North Sea and Baltic Sea are intensifying, with the area covered by strong categories increasing. 

Global Ocean

Marin heatwave categories forecast for 27 December, 2025. Global Ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International

North Atlantic

The marine heatwave in the Gulf of Mexico increases in intensity with the extent of strong category intensifying. The marine heatwave in the Carribean Sea to the center of the basin decreases in extent with moderate to strong categories.  

South Atlantic

The marine heatwave around 30°S is increasing in extent, with few scattered areain the moderate to strong category.

North Pacific

The marine heatwaves present around 180°W increases in intensity with moderate to strong categories. The marine heatwave off the Canadian coast to the center of the basin decreases in extent with moderate category. The marine heatwave in the Philippine Sea decreases in extent but increases in intensity with strong category. 

South Pacific

The marine heatwave around Papouasie New-Guinea to 30°S increases in extent and intensity with moderate to strong categories. The marine heatwave affecting northern New Zealand is increasing in intensity with moderate to strong categories. The marine heatwave affecting western Chile is increasing intensity with moderate to strong categories.

Southern Ocean

The marine heatwave between 30°E and 120°E is intensifying, with several areas moving into the extreme category. The marine heatwave around 180°W is intensifying, with the appearance of strong categories and locally sever. The marine heatwave between 30°W to 90°W is intensifying with sever to extreme categories. 

 

Weekly temperature anomalies

Mediterranean Sea 1°C to 2°C 
North Atlantic <-3 °C to 2.5°C 
South Atlantic -1°C to 2.5°C 
North Pacific -2°C to >3°C 
South Pacific -1°C to 1.5°C  
Southern Ocean -0.5°C to >3°C 

 

Forecasts for 27 December 2025

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NOTES

Datasets and products: Global Ocean Physics Analysis and Forecast (sea surface temperature) E.U. Copernicus Marine Service/ Mercator Ocean International. https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00016