Marine heatwave Bulletin
Forecasts for 25 October 2025​

Key takeaways

  • Europeaan zone – stable conditions.
  • South Pacific – marine heatwave developing off the coast of Chile around 30°S.
  • Tropical Pacific – Philippine Sea and Indonesia regions are seeing an increase in intensity of the local marine heatwave, which remains stable in surface area.
  • Indian Ocean – decreasing intensitity and extent of the marine heatwave.
Waves

Marine heatwave categories

 

Marin heatwave categories forecast for 25 October, 2025. Global Ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International

 

Tropical Atlantic

The marine heatwave in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea is decreasing in intensity and is now mostly in the moderate category. The marine heatwave around 30°W is increasing in extent but remains moderate overall. 

North Pacific

The marine heatwave in the center of the basin is decreasing in extent but remains stable in intensity, with moderate and strong categories still present. The marine heatwave in the Sea of Japan is decreasing in intensity and extent, with only a few scattered moderate marine heatwaves remaining. The marine heatwave in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea is decreasing in extent and intensity, shifting from strong to extreme categories to moderate to strong categories. 

Tropical Pacific

The marine heatwave present from the Philippine Sea to Indonesia is increasing in intensity with the appearance of strong categories but remains stable in extent.

South Pacific

A marine heatwave is developing off the coast of Chile around 30°S, but also around 15°S, with moderate to severe.

Indian Ocean

The marine heatwave in the eastern Indian Ocean is decreasing in size and intensity and is now classified as moderate globally. The marine heatwave in the Bay of Bengal is decreasing in size, with only one area of marine heatwave remaining in the north of the gulf. 

 

 

Weekly temperature anomalies

 

 

Average temperature anomalies for the week 19 – 25 October 2025. Credit: Mercator Ocean International

Tropical Atlantic   0°C  – 1.5°C 
North Pacific    – 3°C – < 3°C 
Tropical Pacific  -3°C – 2°C 
South Pacific  -1°C – 1.5°C 
Indian Ocean   -1°C – 2°C  

Forecasts for 25 October 2025

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NOTES

Datasets and products: Global Ocean Physics Analysis and Forecast (sea surface temperature) E.U. Copernicus Marine Service/ Mercator Ocean International. https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00016