
Marine heatwave category forecasts for 29 August, 2026 for the European Zone. Data: GLO12 forecast. Source: Copernicus Marine Service/Mercator Ocean International.
The marine heatwave extending from the Strait of Gibraltar to the Balearic Islands is decreasing in both area and intensity. In the rest of the basin, the marine heatwave remains generally stable, except in the southeast of Sicily, where severe categories are appearing and the area covered by strong categories is increasing, as well as in the Adriatic Sea, where strong and severe categories are appearing.
The marine heatwave in the North Atlantic, stretching from south of the British Isles to the Caribbean, is decreasing in intensity and area, shifting from moderate to severe categories to mostly moderate and locally strong categories.

Marine heatwave category forecasts for 29 August, 2026 for the Global Ocean. Data: GLO12 forecast. Source: Copernicus Marine Service/Mercator Ocean International.
The marine heatwave in the Gulf of Mexico is increasing in intensity as the area covered by strong categories expands. The marine heatwave off the coast of Guinea is shrinking in area but remains generally stable in intensity, with conditions still ranging from moderate to strong.
The marine heatwave stretching from Brazil to South Africa remains generally stable, with conditions still mostly in the moderate range and locally in the strong range.
Current marine heat waves in the basin remain generally stable, with conditions still ranging from moderate to severe.


| Mediterranean Sea | -2°C to >3°C |
| North Atlantic | -2 °C to 3°C |
| South Atlantic | -3°C to >2°C |
| Pacific Ocean | -2°C to 3°C |
| Indian Ocean | -1°C to 2°C |
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Datasets and products: Global Ocean Physics Analysis and Forecast (sea surface temperature) E.U. Copernicus Marine Service/ Mercator Ocean International. https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00016