Marine heatwave Bulletin
Forecasts for 11 October 2025​

Key takeaways

  • Mediterranean Sea: decreasing intensity and extent of the marine heatwave in the whole basin.
  • Tropical Atlantic : overall stability and decrease in marine heatwave categories and extent in the region.
  • Indian Ocean : a marine heatwave is developing in the region with strong to severe categories and locally extreme.
Waves

Marine heatwave categories

European Zone 

Marine heatwave categories for 11 October, 2025. European zone. Credit: Mercator Ocean International.

Mediterranean Sea

Marine heatwaves in the Mediterranean Sea are decreasing in intensity and extent. The western basin is affected by only moderate categories.

Global Ocean 

Marine heatwave categories for 11 October, 2025. Global. Credit: Mercator Ocean International.

North Tropical Atlantic 

The marine heatwave in the Gulf of Mexico and in the Caribbean Sea remains stable with strong category. The marine heatwave extent around 30°W and near the equator decreases, only a few scattered areas remain.

North Pacific

The marine heatwave between the Japanese and North American coasts is decreasing in extent with moderate category. The marine heatwave in the Japan Sea decreases in extent and intensity. The marine heatwave in the Yellow Sea and in the East China Sea increases in intensity, with strong to severe categories and locally extreme.

Tropical Pacific

The extent of the marine heatwave around Papua New Guinea and Indonesia is decreasing, while its intensity is stable, with moderate and strong categories.

Indian Ocean

The marine heatwave around the equator off the Sumatra coast increases with strong to severe categories and locally extreme. 

Weekly temperature anomalies

Mean sea surface temperature for the week 5– 11 October 2025

 

Mediterranean Sea -1°C à 2°C 
Tropical Atlantic -1°C à 1.5°C 
North Pacific  -1°C à 2.5°C 
Tropical Pacific -3°C < 3°C 
Indian Ocean -1°C à 1.5°C  

 

 

Forecasts for 11 October 2025

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NOTES

Datasets and products: Global Ocean Physics Analysis and Forecast (sea surface temperature) E.U. Copernicus Marine Service/ Mercator Ocean International. https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00016