Marine heatwave forecasts – 7 June 2025

The marine heatwave bulletin provides forecasts and analysis of marine heatwave events across the globe and throughout the year. Used datasets include observations (satellite sea surface temperature maps) and numerical model analyses (assimilating satellite and in situ observations) to derive marine heatwave forecasts for a 10-day period.This week’s forecasts were produced using as a comparison the marine heatwave situation on 27/05/2025.

Global Ocean

Marine heatwave categories for 7 June 2025 (global ocean). Credit: Mercator Ocean International  
Category and geographical extent differences for 7 June 2025 (global ocean). Credit: Mercator Ocean International 

Tropical Atlantic

The marine heatwave present in the Caribbean Sea disappears. The marine heat wave south of Cuba decreases, with only a few scattered zones remaining in the moderate category. 
The marine heatwave increases in intensity with a stable extent in the Gulf of Mexico. 

North Pacific

The marine heatwave in the central part of the basin decreases in extent and generally shifts to the moderate category, with some areas remaining in the strong categories. 
A strong to locally extreme marine heatwave persists in the Sea of Okhotsk.

Tropical Pacific

The marine heatwave southeast of China decreases in extent and generally shifts to the moderate category. The marine heatwave in the western tropical Pacific Ocean and the seas of Southeast Asia remains generally stable.

Indian Ocean

The marine heatwave in the Arabian Sea disappears. 
The marine heatwave east of Madagascar decreases in extent, with only a few areas remaining in the moderate category.

European Zone

Marine heatwave categories for 7 June 2025 (Europe). Credit: Mercator Ocean International  
Category and geographical extent differences for 7 June 2025 (Europe). Credit: Mercator Ocean International 

North Atlantic Ocean

The marine heatwave located west and north of the British Isles disappears. The marine heatwave off the west coast of France and Spain decreases in extent but increases locally in intensity, reaching severe and extreme categories.

Weekly Temperature Anomalies

31 May-7 June 2025

Water surface temperature anomaly map for the week 31 May to 7 June, 2025. Global Ocean. Credit: Mercator Ocean International
Water surface temperature anomaly map for the week 31 May to 7 June, 2025. European Zone. Credit: Mercator Ocean International
Mean sea surface temperature anomalies in each global ocean region for the week 31 May to 7 June , 2025.
North Atlantic-3°C to 2°C
Tropical Atlantic-0.5°C to 3°C
North Pacific-1°C to 3°C
Tropical Pacific-1°C à 2°C
Indian Ocean-1°C to 2.5°C

Access the Daily Global Physical Bulletin for a 9-day forecast here.


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Notes

Datasets and products :

 Global Ocean Physics Analysis and Forecast (sea surface temperature) E.U. Copernicus Marine Service/ Mercator Ocean International. https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00016

 IPCC AR6 SYR chapter 4.3 https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_LongerReport.pdfarine

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NOTES

Datasets and products: Global Ocean Physics Analysis and Forecast (sea surface temperature) E.U. Copernicus Marine Service/ Mercator Ocean International. https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00016