Sea Ice Bulletin
March 2026

Key Takeaways

Iceberg pictogram

Arctic

  • In the Arctic, on 3 March 2026, sea ice extent was at 13.83 million km2, 8% below the 1993-2010 average.

 

  • Sea ice extent in the region has likely not yet reached its winter daily maximum. The current trajectory places 2026 well below the long-term average and approaching record-low levels, continuing the pattern observed in recent years.

 

  • Regionally, the highest losses in sea ice are visible in the peripheral areas of the Arctic region, by the North Pacific and North Atlantic – in the Gulf of St. Lawrence and in the Barents Sea. 
Iceberg pictogram

Antarctic

  • Sea ice extent in the Antarctic region likely reached its daily minimum value for the year on 25 February 2026, at 2.36 million km². 

 

  • This summer minimum extent follows very closely the long-term average of 1993-2010 for the same date (2.40 million km²). 

 

  • Regionally, an unusually larger sea ice extent is detected in the northwestern part of the Weddell Sea.  

Arctic sea ice extent 

Left: Arctic Sea ice extent (red) for 3 March 2026. The black line represents the 1993-2010 average (climatology) for the same day of the year. Right: Daily sea ice extent in the Arctic for the period 1993-2026. Data: GLO12/GLORYS12. Source: EU. Copernicus Marine Service/Mercator Ocean International.

 

 

In the northern hemisphere, sea ice cover on the 3 March 2026 registered an extent of 13.83 million km ², 1.2 million km ² (and about 8%) below the long-term average Maximum sea ice extent is likely to be reached in the coming days.

Regionally, the sea ice edge has receded in almost all the areas of the Arctic bordering the North Pacific and North Atlantic, more specifically in the Gulf of St. Lawrence and the Barents Sea. Winter sea ice in the Barents and Kara Seas has been forming later in the season, caused by significantly high sea surface temperatures in the region in November and December 2025.
Following the trend observed in the latest years, winter sea ice in the Arctic remains well below the average and close to record-low levels.

Arctic sea ice volume

Sea ice volume in the Arctic is steadily declining, and since 2021 has been breaking records each year. Maximum sea ice volume should be reached in the coming days.

Maximum sea ice volume should be reached in the coming days. On 3 March 2026 it was measured at 14.29 thousand km3 – -12.59 thousand km³ (or around 47%) below the long-term average 1993-2020.

 

Daily Arctic sea ice volume anomaly between 1993-2026, relative to the 1993-2010 average. Data: GLO12/GLORYS12. Source: EU. Copernicus Marine Service/Mercator Ocean International.

 

 

Antarctic sea ice extent

Left: Antarctic sea ice extent (red) for 25 February 2026. The black line represents the 1993-2010 long-term average (climatology) for the same day of the year. Right: Daily Antarctic Sea ice extent. between 1993-2026. Data: GLO12/GLORYS12. Source: EU. Copernicus Marine Service/Mercator Ocean International.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sea ice cover in the Southern Ocean likely reached its minimum for the year on 25 February 2026, with an extent of 2.36 million km². Globally, the 2026 summer extent follows very closely the long-term trend of 1993-2010 for the same date, with a difference of -0.039 million km², and -1.6% in sea ice.  Note that the date of the minimum and sea ice extent values may vary between datasets. For instance, the Copernicus Climate Change Service system has detected a daily sea ice minimum value in Antarctic on 22 February.

Regionally, in the northwestern part of the Weddell Sea, a significant sea ice extent survived the summer, contrary to what has been observed in the previous years (2023, 2024 and 2025). Positive anomalies are also detected in the Amundsen Sea and in various regions along the East Antarctic coast, in the areas of Cosmonauts Sea, Cooperation Sea and Dumont d’urville.  

Antarctic sea ice volume

Sea ice volume around the Antarctica reached its minimum at 1.22 thousand km3 –  1.06 thousand km3 below the long-term average.

 

Daily Antarctic sea ice volume anomaly between 1993-2026 (using 1993-2010 climatology). Data: GLO12/GLORYS12. Source: EU. Copernicus Marine Service/Mercator Ocean International.

Notes

Definitions:
  • Sea ice concentration – percentage of sea ice cover within the data grid cell. 
  • Sea ice extent – area covered by a significant amount of sea ice, at least 15% sea ice concentration (km²).  
  • Sea ice volume – derived from sea ice concentration and sea ice thickness integrated over a respective area (km ³). 
Notes:

Products and data used: 

Credits:

*Image citation: European Union, Copernicus Marine Service Data 2025 I © Mercator Ocean 
All images in this article can be used freely and should be cited with the information above.

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